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The Zogby Poll®: A majority of likely voters support impeaching President Trump again! Suburban women oppose impeachment; Democrats split on Sanders or Bloomberg; Republicans want Romney's role limited in the Senate

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Impeachment

According to a new Zogby Poll, a majority (55%) of likely voters support (strongly and somewhat combined) impeaching the President again, without even knowing what the charge(s) against him are, while 45% were opposed to House Democrats impeaching him again. Recently, there has been some chatter about the possibility of new impeachment investigations by House Democrats, but this will have to happen after the election, as the focus of the Democratic Party needs to be on nominating a candidate that can take on President Trump in the November election.

We asked likely voters, "Do you support or oppose House Democrats impeaching the President again?" There were obvious political leanings when it came to certain demographics but there were also some surprises. Majorities of men (56% at least somewhat support/44% at least somewhat oppose) and women (54% at least somewhat support/47% at least somewhat oppose) supported House Democrats impeaching the President again, but without knowing any specific charges levied against Trump. A majority of younger voters aged 18-29 (72% at least somewhat support/28% at least somewhat oppose) and Millennials (66% at least somewhat support/34% at least somewhat oppose) supported another impeachment of the president by House Democrats, while older voters-Baby Boomers (41% at least somewhat support/59% at least somewhat oppose) and voters aged 50+ (43% at least somewhat support/57% at least somewhat oppose) were opposed to another impeachment of President Trump.

Suburban voters were split down the middle; 50% supported another impeachment (strongly and somewhat combined) and 50% opposed another impeachment (strongly and somewhat combined). A majority of Independents (54% at least somewhat support/46% at least somewhat oppose) supported another round of impeachment hearings, but what's most surprising are women voters' opposition to the idea of the president getting impeached again, for instance; a majority of suburban women (47% at least somewhat support/54% at least somewhat oppose) are opposed to impeachment, and so are 47% of all women likely voters. If women are turned off by impeachment, along with half of suburban voters, then more impeachment could hurt Democrats come November.

Democrats

For the next question, we only polled Democratic likely voters, and asked them "If the only two viable options are Michael Bloomberg or Bernie Sanders, who will you vote for?"Overall, likely Democratic Primary voters were split 50/50 on whether they would choose Bernie Sanders or Michael Bloomberg.

Democratic voters were also split along gender: men and women were evenly split on whether Sanders or Bloomberg was the better choice in 2020. When it came to age, younger voters aged 18-29 supported Sanders two to one (Sanders 67%/Bloomberg 33%) while the opposite ratio was present with older voters aged 65+ (Bloomberg 68%/Sanders 32%). There were also ideological differences among Democrats: a majority of liberals (Sanders 58%/Bloomberg 42%) supported Sanders and a majority of moderates (Bloomberg 61%/Sanders 40%) felt Bloomberg was the right choice.

A slim majority of minorities-Hispanics (Sanders 54%/Bloomberg 46%) and African Americans (Sanders 53%/Bloomberg 47%) support Senator Bernie Sanders, which is surprising considering the blowback Bloomberg has received for his "stop and frisk" policies in NYC as mayor, but among urban voters (Bloomberg 51%/Sanders 49%), suburban voters (Bloomberg 55%/Sanders 45%) and suburban women (Bloomberg 61%/Sanders 39%), Michael Bloomberg has the edge over Sanders.

Republicans

Among only Republican likely voters, we asked, "Should Senate Republicans limit Mitt Romney's future role in the Senate (i.e. legislation or committee chairs) because he voted to remove President Trump from office?"

Overall, a majority (58%) of Republican likely voters thought Romney's vote to remove President Trump from office should result in some retribution, such as, limiting his future role in the Senate, while slightly more than a quarter (27%) of Republicans did not agree, and 16% were not sure. Majorities of almost all demographics agreed that Romney should have a limited role in the Senate, but some groups agreed less than others: women (48% yes/29% no), suburban women (48% yes/32% no), and rural voters (46% yes/27% no) all had pluralities say "yes" to Romney receiving retribution for his actions against the president, but with less intensity than most sub-groups.

The Republican voters who were most intense about Romney's future role being limited were men (68% yes/24% no), weekly Walmart shoppers (73% yes/16% no), weekly Amazon shoppers (66% yes/23% no), NASCAR fans (69% yes/21% no), voters with college degrees (64% yes/24% no), urban voters in large cities (78% yes/17% no) and voters aged 30-49 (65% yes/22% no).

 

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Zogby Analytics Poll Methodology
US Likely Voters
2/13/20 – 2/14/20

Zogby Analytics conducted an online survey of 1340 likely voters in the US.

Using internal and trusted interactive partner resources, thousands of adults were randomly invited to participate in this interactive survey. Each invitation is password coded and secure so that one respondent can only access the survey one time.

Using information based on census data, voter registration figures, CIA fact books and exit polls, we use complex weighting techniques to best represent the demographics of the population being surveyed. Weighted variables may include age, race, gender, region, party, education, and religion. The party breakdown for this survey is as follows: 36% Democrat, 36% Republican and 28% Independent/unaffiliated.

Based on a confidence interval of 95%, the margin of error for 1340 is +/- 3.7 percentage points. This means that all other things being equal, the identical survey repeated will have results within the margin of error 95 times out of 100.

Subsets of the data have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data especially sets smaller than 50-75 respondents. At that subset we can make estimations based on the data, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative.

Additional factors can create error, such as question wording and question order.

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About Zogby Analytics:
Zogby Analytics is respected nationally and internationally for its opinion research capabilities. Since 1984, Zogby has empowered clients with powerful information and knowledge critical for making informed strategic decisions.

The firm conducts multi-phased opinion research engagements for banking and financial services institutions, insurance companies, hospitals and medical centers, retailers and developers, religious institutions, cultural organizations, colleges and universities, IT companies and Federal agencies. Zogby's dedication and commitment to excellence and accuracy are reflected in its state-of-the-art opinion research capabilities and objective analysis and consultation.

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