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The Zogby Poll®: More voters agree with President Trump's decision to withdraw troops from Syria and Afghanistan; Democrats oppose withdrawing troops from Syria and Afghanistan; Millennials and Hispanics want troops to come home

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Pluralities of urban women support the President ending both wars

 

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Over the last fifteen years, our polling of voters in the U.S. has shown that most Democrats vehemently opposed the U.S. wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. In a stunning reversal of past polling, a majority of Democrats disagree with President Trump's plan to withdraw American troops from Syria and a plurality of Democrats disagree with the President on removing troops from Afghanistan. A third (31%) of Democrats agreed (strongly and somewhat agree combined) with Trump, while half (52%) disagreed (strongly and somewhat disagree combined). These numbers were much different than the overall voter figures: 46% of likely voters agreed with Trump, while 37% "disagreed", and 17% were not sure.

Our polling has shown that in past years, Democrats have, like the president, wanted the troops to come home. In 2011, Zogby Analytics polled Democratic voters and 74% "thought it was a bad idea" to have gone to war with Iraq and 57% thought the same about the war in Afghanistan. Additionally, only 21% of Democrats thought "the Afghani people are better off than they were before U.S. led-forces invaded and occupied their country".

Is this a shift in policy on the part of Democratic leaders, or Democrats disagreeing with any proposal put forth by the president? Are the Democrats the new party of "no", and willing to obstruct anything the President does out of mere spite? Presently, the data isn't painting a different picture.

When it came to specific demographics, men (51% agree/37% disagree) were more likely to support the President than women (42% agree/37% disagree). Urban women (42% agree/35% disagree) agreed slightly more with the President than suburban women (37% agree/44% disagree). Younger voters age 18-29 (46% agree/29% disagree) were more likely to agree with Trump than older voters age 65+ (38% agree/48% disagree) about withdrawing American troops from Syria. Republicans (65% agree/23% disagree) and Independents (44% agree/34% disagree) were on board. Younger voters were the most likely to be "not sure" about the President's proposal (25%).

Education did not factor in to how voters felt about Trump's decision to withdraw American troops from Syria. Both college educated (45% agree/41% disagree) and non-college educated (48% agree/33% disagree) voters both were more likely to agree than disagree with the President. Race did indeed play a factor in how voters felt about the issue. White (50% agree/34% disagree) and Hispanic (44% agree/36% disagree) voters supported the President, while African Americans (31% agree/46% disagree) disagreed with removing American troops from Syria.

Where voters resided did not play as much a factor as income. A plurality in all regions agreed with Trump, while half of voters in small cities (50% agree/36% disagree) and rural areas (51% agree/29% disagree) "agreed." Pluralities in large cities (45% agree/36% disagree) and the suburbs (44% agree/42% disagree) also agreed with the President's proposal to remove American troops from Syria. More than half of lower income voters (54% agree/26% disagree) agreed with Trump compared to upper income voters (44% agree/45% disagree) who were split on Trump's plan to remove American troops from Syria.

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In a similar question to what we asked above, we asked voters' view of Trump's proposal to remove American troops from Afghanistan. Overall, a majority of likely voters strongly and somewhat agreed with President Trump's plan. A third "disagreed", while almost one in five were not sure. Slightly more voters agreed with removing America troops from Afghanistan compared to Syria, which could be attributed to fatigue, since it's America's longest running war ever. There has also been more mainstream media coverage of the Syrian civil war. As with many issues today, the President's proposal is also split down party lines.

Men (57% agree/33% disagree) were more likely to support removing American troops than women (44% agree/33% disagree). Among age groups, 30-49 year olds (55% agree/31% disagree), were the most likely age group to have agreed with American troops leaving Afghanistan, compared to older voters age 65+ (45% agree/41% disagree). The demographics somewhat followed a similar pattern to the previous question as far as other sub-groups. African Americans (28% agree/48% disagree) opposed the President, while Independents (49% agree/29% disagree) and Republicans (58% agree/22% disagree) agreed with withdrawing troops, compared to less Democrats (36% agree/47% disagree). The major difference was again with Hispanics (48% agree/33% disagree) who agreed with Trump's plan to remove troops from Afghanistan. Interestingly, urban women (44% agree/31% disagree) were more likely to agree with Trump compared to suburban women (39% agree/42% disagree).

Methodology

Zogby Analytics® conducted a poll of 893 likely voters, randomly, online from 1/18/19 to 1/20/19. Based on a confidence interval of 95%, the margin of error for 893 is +/- 3.3 percentage points. This means that all other things being equal, the identical survey repeated will have results within the margin of error 95 times out of 100.

 

 

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