A new Zogby Analytics hybrid (live interviewer telephone and online) survey of 1,514 likely US voters shows Trump's approval rating at 44%, while 53% disapprove, which is in line with our September numbers. The margin of error for this survey was +/- 2.5 percentage points. The following percentages represent numbers combined among "strongly" and "somewhat" attributes for President Trump's approval/disapproval rating.
Trump's approval rating is unchanged among men and women. Slightly more men approve (49%) of the president than disapprove (48%). A majority of women continue to disapprove (58%), while nearly 2 in five approve (39%).
Younger voters continue to disapprove of the President and his numbers among millennials are down since September. Trump has at times made inroads with younger voters but since our September poll, more younger voters age 18-29 disapprove (63%), compared with only 30% who approve of the President's job so far. The president continues to do better among the older millennial crowd of voters age 25-34; 44% approve of Trump, while 50% disapprove. These numbers represent an improvement from our last September poll.
Among voters age 50-64, 47% approve of Trump, while 52% disapprove. Voter age 65+ continue to support Trump; a majority approve of his job as president (55%) compared to 45% who disapprove.
President Trump's numbers are steady among Republicans at 81% approval and 17% disapproval in our latest poll. Among Independents, the president's numbers have improved. Only a third (32%) approved while 60% disapproved of his job as commander in chief in September; now 40% approve and 54% disapprove. This is a trend that must continue for Trump if he has his eye on re-election in 2020!
Zogby Analytics Subgroups
NASCAR fans (61% approve/35% disapprove) and weekly Walmart shoppers (49% approve/47% disapprove) continue to support President Trump. A new subgroup we are watching is Amazon shoppers (due to the slow death of brick and mortar stores) and 50% of weekly Amazon shoppers approve of Trump while 46% disapprove. We have also been closely watching voters who say they sympathize with ANTIFA, and 44% of ANTIFA supporters approve of Trump! That is something we will continue to track since it is counterintuitive but everything about Trump's rise to the presidency has been counterintuitive.
Zogby Analytics asked voters the following question, "Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: Even though I tell people I do not approve of Donald Trump, I personally agree with him on certain issues". Two in five voters agreed (strongly and somewhat agree combined) with this statement, while slightly more than half disagreed 53%, and 9% were not sure. Does this show the potential for a "silent Trump supporter", or anyway dispute his approval numbers, or reinforce the problem with polling in general in the 2016 Presidential election? It's hard to say for certain, but it is worthy of continuing to track and delve into. On the surface, if almost 40% of voters are afraid to tell people they might approve of Trump or agree with his policies, maybe there are some voters who are afraid to tell pollsters they support him in a horserace question, or approve of his job as commander in chief. Our polling numbers were steady during 2016, and showed a very competitive race between Clinton and Trump but there were moments when it was hard to discern how well Trump was performing in certain parts of the country.
With the entire backlash from certain anti-Trump voters and the continued divisiveness in this country, it's not hard to imagine people being afraid of admitting their support of Trump, even if it's telling a stranger by way of email or telephone. At the moment this is something we will continue to track and keep an eye on.
While the numbers do not differentiate among most subgroups, there does seem to be a partisan element to this issue when it comes to whether voters agree or disagree with idea of being afraid to admit they support or agree with Trump. Among groups that are more likely to lean Republican or support Trump, they were most likely to agree they do not openly share their support for Trump. Voters who are Republican (58%), NRA members (51%), Veterans/Armed forces (48%), NASCAR fans (54%), voters who earn $50k-$75k annually (51%), and most surprisingly 58% of those who say they sympathize with ANTIFA, all agreed with the idea they tell people they don't approve of Trump but secretly support some of his policies.
Please click here to view the methodology statement.