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A JZ Analytics national online poll of 785 likely voters shows Obama leading all Republican candidates, with only Mitt Romney even close to the President.

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Obama leads Romney nationally among voters 40% to 36%. Outside of the small lead Obama enjoys over Romney, Obama holds convincing double digit leads over Gingrich, Huntsman, Paul, Perry and Santorum.

Overall, Obama's approval rating remained at 45%, but he did see improvement among his base: 18-29 year olds, Hispanics, African Americans and Suburbanites. Among these core groups, Obama saw his support among two strongholds of his 2008 campaign; 18-29 year olds and suburbanites increase to 54% and 44% respectively.

Although Obama saw a boost among these supporters, his support among other important sub-groups did not fair so well.

It is no secret, Independents and young voters will be vital to an Obama victory in 2012, but among Independents, 59% say they disapprove of the President, while 27% of people who sympathize with occupy Wall Street say they also disapprove of the President.

For complete cross-tabs and more information about the poll, please visit http://jzanalytics.com/DATA/Crosstabs_Voters_011112.pdf

Looking for additional information about the poll?
Contact Karen Scott -
This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

Looking for independent political analysis?
Contact Independent Pollster John Zogby -
This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. or 315-534-0476

 

Methodology
JZ Analytics Interactive Poll of Likely Voters
Nationwide - 1/11/12 thru 1/13/12

 

JZ Analytics conducted an online survey of 785 likely voters in the US.

Using trusted interactive partner resources, thousands of adults were invited to participate in this interactive survey. Each invitation is password coded and secure so that one respondent can only access the survey one time.

Using information based on census data, CIA fact books and exit polls, we use complex weighting techniques to best represent the demographics of the population being surveyed. Weighted variables may include age, race, gender, region, party, education, and religion.

Based on a confidence interval of 95%, the margin of error for 785 is +/- 3.6 percentage points. This means that all other things being equal, the identical survey repeated will have results within the margin of error 95 times out of 100.

Subsets of the data have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data especially sets smaller than 50-75 respondents. At that subset we can make estimations based on the data, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative.

Additional factors can create error, such as question wording and question order.

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