There was no red wave, and President Biden and Congressional Democrats came out the winners, in the 2022 midterm election, by maintaining control of the U.S. Senate. Although Republicans will have a slim majority in the House of Representatives, Republicans underperformed in many congressional and gubernatorial races across the country.
In our post-election poll of 2,000 midterm voters nationwide, voters expressed discontent with President Biden overall, but his numbers are on the up since our last poll in August, when his job approval rating was 43% approve/55% disapprove. Biden’s approval rating among midterm election voters currently sits at 45% approve and 53% disapprove, while 2% were not sure. Biden’s base has driven up his approval rating as of late, and surely helped Democrats perform better than expected in some midterm Senate and congressional races. In our poll, the president performed well with majorities of Generation Z (55% approve and 41% disapprove), Millennial (61% approve and 37% disapprove), Hispanic (56% approve and 43% disapprove), African American (68% approve and 28% disapprove), and urban voters in large cities (69% approve and 31% disapprove).
While President Biden and Democrats can rejoice and do a victory lap, due to a great offensive and defensive performance in the midterm election, there are still cracks in their armor. For instance, majorities of voters believe the country is off on the wrong track (61% wrong track/32% right direction), including U.S. economic direction (64% wrong track/29% right direction) and foreign policy direction (53% wrong track/34% right direction). In all three instances, women and suburban women voters were even more likely to think the country, economy, and foreign policy directions were off the wrong track.
Midterm voters expressed the top three issues facing the U.S. were inflation (53%), economy/jobs (34%), and crime (27%).
Midterm voters also expressed that the issues that mattered the most in who they decided to vote for were inflation (22%), economy/jobs (17%), threats to the democratic process (11%), and reproductive rights (9%).
Zogby Analytics Poll Methodology
Nov. 8th Voters Voters
11/9/22 – 11/11/22
Zogby Analytics conducted an online survey of 2004 Nov. 8th voters in the US.
Using internal and trusted interactive partner resources, thousands of adults were randomly invited to participate in this interactive survey. Each invitation is password coded and secure so that one respondent can only access the survey one time.
Using information based on census data, voter registration figures, CIA fact books and exit polls, we use complex weighting techniques to best represent the demographics of the population being surveyed. Weighted variables may include age, race, gender, region, party, education, and religion. The party breakdown for this survey is as follows: 38% Democrat, 38% Republican and 24% Independent/unaffiliated.
Based on a confidence interval of 95%, the margin of error for 2004 is +/- 2.2 percentage points. This means that all other things being equal, the identical survey repeated will have results within the margin of error 95 times out of 100.
Subsets of the data have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data especially sets smaller than 50-75 respondents. At that subset we can make estimations based on the data, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative.
Additional factors can create error, such as question wording and question order.
About Zogby Analytics:
Zogby Analytics is respected nationally and internationally for its opinion research capabilities. Since 1984, Zogby has empowered clients with powerful information and knowledge critical for making informed strategic decisions.
The firm conducts multi-phased opinion research engagements for banking and financial services institutions, insurance companies, hospitals and medical centers, retailers and developers, religious institutions, cultural organizations, colleges and universities, IT companies and Federal agencies. Zogby's dedication and commitment to excellence and accuracy are reflected in its state-of-the-art opinion research capabilities and objective analysis and consultation.