Nearly two thirds of surveyed likely voters believed the direction of the U.S. is off on the wrong track compared to only 27% who think it's headed in the right direction.
The negative sentiment of the country's direction has steadily increased since January (38% right direction/56%wrong track). The numbers continued to get worse in May (31% right direction/62%wrong track).
Overall, there wasn't one sub-groups where a majority of voters said the U.S. was headed in the right direction. Not even Democrats!
Of note, groups who were the most negative (U.S. wrong direction) were older voters aged 50-64 (20% right direction/72%wrong track), women (20% right direction/70%wrong track), suburban women (20% right direction/70%wrong track) and non-college educated voters (22% right direction/70%wrong track). This is important because these were voters Biden was able to flip in key states in the 2020 presidential election. Another significant finding was that 42% of Democrats thought the country was off on the wrong track (48% right direction/42%wrong track).
Riding into the midterms, it appears as though President Biden is improving the Democrats' chances of keeping control of Congress. It's also possible Democrats keep the Senate and take less of a shellacking in the House races. While he has an approval rating in the low forties, two-thirds saying the U.S is off on the wrong track, while also dealing with a looming recession and decades high inflation, make it a long tough road to victory in November for Biden and Democrats.
Zogby Analytics Poll Methodology
US Likely Voters
8/4/22 - 8/6/22
Zogby Analytics conducted an online survey of 891 likely voters in the US.
Using internal and trusted interactive partner resources, thousands of adults were randomly invited to participate in this interactive survey. Each invitation is password coded and secure so that one respondent can only access the survey one time.
Using information based on census data, voter registration figures, CIA fact books and exit polls, we use complex weighting techniques to best represent the demographics of the population being surveyed. Weighted variables may include age, race, gender, region, party, education, and religion. The party breakdown for this survey is as follows: 38% Democrat, 38% Republican and 24% Independent/unaffiliated.
Based on a confidence interval of 95%, the margin of error for 891 is +/- 3.3 percentage points. This means that all other things being equal, the identical survey repeated will have results within the margin of error 95 times out of 100.
Subsets of the data have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data especially sets smaller than 50-75 respondents. At that subset we can make estimations based on the data, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative.
Additional factors can create error, such as question wording and question order.
About Zogby Analytics:
Zogby Analytics is respected nationally and internationally for its opinion research capabilities. Since 1984, Zogby has empowered clients with powerful information and knowledge critical for making informed strategic decisions.
The firm conducts multi-phased opinion research engagements for banking and financial services institutions, insurance companies, hospitals and medical centers, retailers and developers, religious institutions, cultural organizations, colleges and universities, IT companies and Federal agencies. Zogby's dedication and commitment to excellence and accuracy are reflected in its state-of-the-art opinion research capabilities and objective analysis and consultation.