President Biden's skid continues, and he has fallen down a job performance well. There are crises spinning out of control every day. As the U.S. economy teeters on recession, and the Wall St. bubble continues to inflate, voters are being hid harder than heavyweights Deontay Wilder and Tyson Fury with higher gas and food prices simultaneously. Don't forget about the US/Mexico border crisis, potential U.S. debt default and a once in a generation pandemic!
Voters can't help but wonder why the Biden administration keeps sweeping these issues under the rug and declaring them "transitory." Democratic leaders cannot even come to consensus within their own ranks. Without the passage of the "Build Back Better Act," or a solid infrastructure bill, and the potential default of the U.S. debt on the horizon, is it any surprise Biden's presidency is sinking like the Titanic? Biden's failure to reach vaccination goals and his executive vaccine mandates have also not helped his cause.
Our latest polling shows President Biden with a 36% positive job performance rating (excellent-15% and good-21% combined), while his negative rating is 61% (fair-19% and poor-42% combined).
Biden is only receiving decent marks from his political base's most ardent supporters: Democrats (68% positive/30% negative), Liberals (69% positive/30% negative), urban voters (52% positive/46% negative) and African Americans (56% positive/41% negative) were the only groups to give him a majority positive rating.
He is getting hammered by all age groups, including younger voters aged 18-29 (34% positive/63% negative), women (32% positive/65% negative), suburban voters (32% positive/65% negative), Hispanics (41% positive/59% negative), Independents (24% positive/71% negative), suburban women (29% positive/67% negative), and urban women (43% positive/53% negative).
It's not all over for President Biden, but something must give soon. He needs to get his agenda going, get the debt ceiling raised, and get Covid under control. Each one of these is nearly impossible by itself. Biden ran on the idea he could fix things and heal the country. With each precious day slipping by it seems unlikely he will get his agenda passed or heal the country. Another Trump presidency might not be so farfetched an idea as it was a year earlier.
The Takeaways
Biden can only get his sagging numbers up by passing his agenda, and hoping the stimulus continues to juice an already battered and slowing economy. The one issue with that plan is it's very likely increasing federal debt and spending will further drive up commodity prices down the line, but politicians rarely think long term when their numbers are down.
Everybody is feeling the pinch at the pump and grocery store. Gas and food prices are skyrocketing, and inflation could help deliver the House back to Republicans!
Women voters are abandoning ship. Biden needs to improve his polling numbers with women or Democratic leaders risk losing the 2022 midterm election.
Can Biden be the deal maker he was in the Senate? It's quite amazing he cannot even get his own party on the same page. Usually, presidents are struggling to pass their agenda with a little bi-partisan support. The Democratic party is more divided than the Republicans now!
Holding up a vote on a bipartisan infrastructure bill Democrats could tout as a major victory and/or the country defaults on its debt, however short a period it is, could doom Biden's presidency.
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Zogby Analytics Poll Methodology
US Likely Voters
10/08/21 - 10/10/21
Zogby Analytics conducted an online survey of 896 likely voters in the US.
Using internal and trusted interactive partner resources, thousands of adults were randomly invited to participate in this interactive survey. Each invitation is password coded and secure so that one respondent can only access the survey one time.
Using information based on census data, voter registration figures, CIA fact books and exit polls, we use complex weighting techniques to best represent the demographics of the population being surveyed. Weighted variables may include age, race, gender, region, party, education, and religion. The party breakdown for this survey is as follows: 38% Democrat, 38% Republican and 24% Independent/unaffiliated.
Based on a confidence interval of 95%, the margin of error for 896 is +/- 3.3 percentage points. This means that all other things being equal, the identical survey repeated will have results within the margin of error 95 times out of 100.
Subsets of the data have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data especially sets smaller than 50-75 respondents. At that subset we can make estimations based on the data, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative.
Additional factors can create error, such as question wording and question order.
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About Zogby Analytics:
Zogby Analytics is respected nationally and internationally for its opinion research capabilities. Since 1984, Zogby has empowered clients with powerful information and knowledge critical for making informed strategic decisions.
The firm conducts multi-phased opinion research engagements for banking and financial services institutions, insurance companies, hospitals and medical centers, retailers and developers, religious institutions, cultural organizations, colleges and universities, IT companies and Federal agencies. Zogby's dedication and commitment to excellence and accuracy are reflected in its state-of-the-art opinion research capabilities and objective analysis and consultation.