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Obama Approval Now at 45%

 

UTICA, New York - The final pre-election Zogby Interactive poll shows Republicans with a 50%-45% lead over Democrats in the national Congressional generic ballot, which asks voters which party's candidates they plan to vote for on Election Day.

The poll, conducted from Oct. 29-Nov.1, 2010 also found that by 48%-43%, voters do not believe their Congressional representative deserves re-election. Among those who say they have already voted, 54% say they chose the Republican and 43% the Democrat

President Barack Obama's approval rating is 45%, with 54% not approving.

Both parties held their party bases, but independents favored Republicans over Democrats, 54%-37%. Among Democrats, 89% will vote for their party's nominee; and for Republicans, that total is 90%.

Democrats held a small 47%-44% lead among the First GlobalTM generation of young voters born since 1979, but every other age group favored the Republicans, most notably those 65 and over, who gave the GOP a 53%-45% advantage.

Republicans also lead among women, 50%-47%, and hold an even bigger edge among men, 50%-42%.

Democrats lead among lower household income voters (under $35,000), 52%-43%, and the two parties are nearly even among those in households earning between $35,000 and $100,000. Republicans are ahead among households earning more than $100,000, 51%-43%.

Among those who say they have already voted, Republicans led, 52%-42%; which is a reversal from Oct. 25, when Democrats led with early voters, 48%-44%.   Republicans continue to lead among those who say recent information has changed their opinion about the Congressional election, 53%-30%.

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama's job as President?

Obama Job Performance

Nov.
1

Oct.
27

Oct.
25

Oct.
18

Oct.
14

Oct.
11

Oct.
4

Sept.
27

Sept.
20

Sept.
14

Aug.
30

Aug.
23

Aug.
12

Aug.
4

Approve

45%

43%

47%

46%

44%

49%

46%

45%

49%

46%

44%

46%

43%

43%

Disapprove

54%

56%

53%

54%

56%

51%

53%

54%

51%

54%

56%

53%

56%

57%

Not sure

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

1%

1%

1%

<1%

Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

 

In other findings:

  • 36% of all voters say the nation is headed in the right direction, and 58% say it is headed in the wrong direction.
  • The job approval of Congress is 20%. Approval of Congressional Democrats' performance is 35%, and approval of Congressional Republicans is 24%.

Pollster John Zogby: "Historically, since 1996 our Congressional generic ballot results have found that Democrats need to lead by five points to break even. So it is easy to see why with this five-point lead for Republicans will result in a GOP majority in the House.  The President and the Democrats have lost their winning coalition of 2008. Independents are breaking heavily for the GOP and Democrats have lost the enthusiastic support among young and Hispanic voters. However, polls do not reveal much love for the Republicans. Independent voters still need to see progress on the economy and they sense neither party has answers."

The interactive poll consisted of 2,056 likely voters and has a margin of error of +/-2.2%.  A sampling of Zogby International's online panel, which is representative of the adult population of the U.S., was invited to participate.  Slight weights were added to region, party, age, race, religion, gender, and education to more accurately reflect the population.

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