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Hillary Clinton’s Big Victory in New York Raises Big Questions

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Published: Wednesday, 20 April 2016 08:53

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has won a big victory in her adopted home state of New York. As of this writing (not quite 11PM primary night) it looks like the final vote over Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders will settle at about 56%-57% for Clinton to Sanders' 43%-44%. It does not compare with Sanders' 80% support in his home state, but it is enough of a margin to say it was not as close as Sanders needed to at least win a moral victory.

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The GOP Has Dealt With Demagoguery Before

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Published: Saturday, 16 April 2016 17:14

Like a lot of other folks I have spent the past few months saying that I have never heard of (let alone experienced) anything quite like the presidential campaign of 2016. Setting aside the powerful insurgency of a 74 year old socialist in the Democratic primaries, the "ain't never been here before" reference is all about Donald Trump. Trump's success has been attributed to a combination of his astutely channeling the deep anger of a suffering (mainly white) middle class, an incredible aptitude for showmanship combined with the sheer entertainment of breaking all the rules, a toady cable news media more in love with its enhanced ratings than doing its job responsibly, and the independence a man possesses when he doesn't need anyone else's money or love. It hasn't hurt that the Republican Party is hurting by deep internal divisions that prevent it from presenting a united front against the larger than life Donald.

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Things You Need to Know About the New York GOP Primary

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Published: Wednesday, 13 April 2016 11:26

I have lived my entire life in Upstate New York and it still amazes me how much of a mystery the region is to those who live outside the state. The best way to understand who will vote in the Republican Primary on April 19 is to get out a map of the Empire State and look at it. You will no doubt see that most of the state geographically is Upstate, with New York City's five boroughs tucked in the southeast corner. Then there is Long Island to the east and the "suburbs" to the north of the City. In a typical New York GOP Presidential primary only about 15% of the total vote will come from New York City, and a pretty decent chunk of that will be from New York City's only Republican pocket - Staten Island - plus parts of Brooklyn and Queens. Another 30% or so will come from New York's suburbs: Long Island's Nassau and Suffolk counties, as well as the northern suburbs of Westchester, Rockland, Orange, Duchess, Putnam, Ulster, and Sullivan counties.

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Hillary Clinton Must Have a Big Win in New York

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Published: Wednesday, 13 April 2016 11:24

I have over 40 years' experience closely watching New York State's primary battles and 2016 is hardly the first time that it has become a pivot point in a presidential election. But this is indeed the first time that two New Yorkers have dominated their respective parties and the April 19 primary is probably the most important vote prior to the November election.

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