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As of today, the Republicans appear to be leading in enough state races to take control of the next Senate. Needing a net gain of six seats, they have solid leads in West Virginia and Montana; respectable leads in Arkansas, Louisiana, and Alaska. And they are holding on to slim leads in Iowa, Colorado, and South Dakota. They also appear to be holding Kentucky. If they win all of these, they can afford to drop a couple of close ones and still win enough seats. On the other hand, if Democrats win a few close ones and/or pick up seats in Georgia and Kansas (and possibly South Dakota), then Democrats hold the Senate.
Open Letter to Democratic Candidates for the Senate:
With just about ten days to go until the election of 2014, here is a riddle for you: if you are a Democratic candidate, why would you wait until now to deny you are a Democrat? Why would you seek to distance yourself from a President who almost everyone knows is a Democrat? What do you think you are going to be able to accomplish by pissing off your party's leader? Are you sidling up to a new GOP majority in hopes of currying favor to a party that detests you?
The pundits seem to be on board with the prediction that the Republicans will take control of the Senate this election. GOP candidates hold commanding leads in two states where the incumbent U.S. Senator is a Democrat (Montana and West Virginia). Up until last week South Dakota made it three on that list, but an independent candidate is making things more interesting. Republicans currently lead in another batch of states - Iowa, Arkansas, Louisiana, Alaska and Colorado - but none of those leads is outside the margin of error and the numbers of undecided voters are still too high. As of today, the incumbent Democrat is leading in North Carolina, but her lead is only a couple of points. And the races are still too close to call in Kentucky, Georgia, and Kansas where the incumbents are Republican.